Mark August 26th , 2032 on your calendar , folks . Ukrainian astronomers have just discover a 1,350 - foot - wide ( 410 meter ) pocket-sized major planet that ’s headed our way of life . The encroachment risk is minimal , but it ’s now the most serious close - term celestial threat to face our planet .
I tend to shrug off this sort of stuff when I run into it , but the absolute size of this asteroid , along with its close - terminal figure potential , made me curious . So I headed over to NASA’SNear Earth Object Programwebsite to see if it was contribute it to itsTorino Scale — a regularly updated chart that designates asteroid impact risk of exposure by class .
https://gizmodo.com/how-serious-does-an-asteroid-threat-have-to-be-before-w-5984576
Not only was it there , it was at the top of the lately observed list — and all lit up in fleeceable , indicating that it ’s something we should probably keep our centre on .
And indeed , the asteroid , which was initially discovered by astronomers knead at the Crimean Astrophysical Observatory in southern Ukraine , has now been confirmed by other scientist in Italy , Spain , the UK , and Russia ’s Siberian republic of Buryatia .
A Torino Scale rating of 1 ( out of 10 ) , which is shown in green , indicates an consequence that “ merits measured monitoring . ” It ’s described as
A routine discovery in which a pass near the Earth is predict that poses no unusual level of peril . Current computation show the chance of hit is extremely improbable with no case for public attention or public concern . Modern telescopic observations very likely will lead to re - assignment to point 0 .
But it is considered potentially hazardous because its field will lend it tightlipped than 7.5 million kilometer fromEarth ’s orbit . In this eccentric , TV135 could make out as tight as 1.7 million km . Size also matters when it comes to risk assessment . If it were to reach us , it would unleash 2,500 megatons of TNT — 50 times greater than the large nuclear dud ever detonate .
https://gizmodo.com/the-orbits-of-all-potentially-hazardous-asteroids-in-on-1110188032
The freshly discovered asteroid , nominate 2013 TV135 , now joins 2007 VK184 as the only Torino Scale 1 objects known to uranologist . Asteroid VK184 , which is 603 feet ( 184 metre ) in diameter , has a 1 in 1,750 prospect of hitting the Earth between 2048 to 2075 .
Thankfully , the peril posture by TV135 is exceedingly low — but not impossibly low . Current salutary estimates show that it has a 1 in 63,000 fortune of colliding with Earth in 2032 . That means it has a 99.9984 % chance of lack the Earth . This number could either go up or down as Modern measurement are made over the coming year .
UPDATE : A new estimate places the fortune of impact at 1 in 169,492,000 .
Asteroid defence force system , anyone ?
asteroidsScienceSpace
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